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Using daily data stemming from inflation-indexed markets, we analyse the effects of numerous macroeconomic surprises on … inflation compensation data - the sum of inflation expectations, risk and liquidity premia - in the euro area between 2 January … 2004 and 31 December 2007. Our results suggest that when gauging short and medium-term inflation compensations, market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138025
designed. At the time, the main concern of the Governing Council was to anchor inflation at low levels in face of the … low-inflation environment has created the concrete risk of de-anchoring of longer-term inflation expectations. Addressing … low inflation is different from addressing high inflation. The ability of the ECB (and central banks globally) to provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012627164
experiences of the U.S. and the Eurozone. There are important differences between these three economies and some striking …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012816140
. inflation anchoring properties. This layout is then confronted with the policy framework in use in the euro area prior to the … dis-anchoring of long-term inflation expectations experienced in the euro area since 2013, however, suggests that the … policy framework could benefit from a rebalancing towards a formulation with stronger anchoring properties. The inflation aim …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012802090
On 1 June 2018 the ECB celebrated its 20th anniversary. This paper provides a comprehensive view of the ECB's monetary policy over these two decades. The first section provides a chronological account of the macroeconomic and monetary policy developments in the euro area since the adoption of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959260
Central bank announcements have strong effects on interest rates, but small or even counterintuitive effects on economic expectations. Based on tick-by-tick futures prices on bonds and stock prices, I confirm these seemingly puzzling results for the euro area and provide evidence that they are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265893
Central bank announcements move financial markets. The response of inflation and growth expectations, on the other hand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011972952
We explain the role of the Phillips Curve in the analysis of the economic outlook and the formulation of monetary policy at the ECB. First, revisiting the structural Phillips Curve, we highlight the challenges in recovering structural parameters from reduced-form estimates and relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012212851
We test for bias and efficiency of the ECB inflation forecasts using a confidential dataset of ECB macroeconomic … quarterly projections. We investigate whether the properties of the forecasts depend on the level of inflation, by … distinguishing whether the inflation observed by the ECB at the time of forecasting is above or below the target. The forecasts are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012544414
We test for bias and efficiency of the ECB inflation forecasts using a confidential dataset of ECB macroeconomic … quarterly projections. We investigate whether the properties of the forecasts depend on the level of inflation, by … distinguishing whether the inflation observed by the ECB at the time of forecasting is above or below the target. The forecasts are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508654