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We disentangle the effects of monetary policy announcements on real economic variables into an interest rate shock … component and a central bank information shock component. We identify both components using changes in interest rate futures and … that a contractionary interest rate shock appreciates the dollar, increases the excess bond premium, and leads to a decline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012295246
The European Central Bank's asset purchase programs, while intended to stabilize the economy, may have unintended side effects on financial stability. This paper aims at gauging the effects on financial markets, the banking sector, and lending to non-financial firms. Using a structural vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011712553
shocks and study their effects on financial variables and macro variables. The first shock resembles a conventional monetary … policy shock, and the second resembles an unconventional monetary shock. The third shock leads to an increase in interest … and uncertainty decrease, and the U.S. dollar depreciates. Therefore, this third shock combines all the characteristics of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014535937
We assess the macroeconomic impact of pandemic-related monetary policy measures of the ECB. Conditioning on counterfactual interest rate paths that would have materialised in the absence of the policies, the macroeconomic effects are measured using structural vector autoregressions. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622376
a shock in the Federal Funds Rate, following the baseline and variations of the Vector Autoregression (VAR) models in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416282
level clearly. A positive information shock which also induces increases in interest rate is perceived by private agents as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304714
The news about the economy contained in a central bank announcement can affect public expectations. This paper shows, using both event studies and vector autoregressions, that such central bank information effects are an important channel of the transatlantic spillover of monetary policy. They...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012298995
Twenty years after the introduction of the euro, this Weekly Report uses an empirical analysis to assess the performance of monetary policy in the EMU founding states. It is often claimed that the monetary policy of the European Central Bank (ECB) cannot outperform its national predecessors, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012007718
and the stock market in the US around FOMC announcements. A restrictive monetary policy shock in the US is identified by … an increase in the interest rate and a drop in stock prices, while a positive information shock is identified when both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015069701
shocks and study their effects on financial variables and macro variables. The first shock resembles a conventional monetary … policy shock, and the second resembles an unconventional monetary shock. The third shock leads to an increase in interest … and uncertainty decrease, and the U.S. dollar depreciates. Therefore, this third shock combines all the characteristics of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014560738