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Forecasting and policy making
Wieland, Volker; Wolters, Maik Hendrik - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368564
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Forecasting and policy making
Wieland, Volker; Wolters, Maik H. - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010394237
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Forecasting and policy making
Wieland, Volker; Wolters, Maik Hendrik - House of Finance, Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010955284
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A Time of Moderate Expectations
Adarov, Amat; Astrov, Vasily; Çiçek, Serkan; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2015
Growth in the CESEE region will follow the unimpressive pattern displayed by the euro area. The longer-term convergence of income levels in the CESEE countries can no longer be expected to be as rapid as was assumed a decade or so ago. Growth in the period 2015-2017 is not going to deviate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011199940
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Estimation and forecasting using mixed-frequency DSGE models
Meyer-Gohde, Alexander; Shabalina, Ekaterina - 2022
higher frequency auxiliary data only for forecasting (see Giannone, Monti and Reichlin (2016)). The second method transforms … our method substantially decreases forecasting errors for recessions, but casting the model in a monthly frequency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013471326
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Incorporating Judgments and Dealing with Data Uncertainty in Forecasting at the Czech National Bank
Bruha, Jan; Hledik, Tibor; Holub, Tomas; Polansky, Jiri; … - Česká Národní Banka - 2013
This paper focuses on the forecasting process at the Czech National Bank with an emphasis on incorporating expert … judgments into forecasts and addressing data uncertainty. At the beginning, the core model and the forecasting process are … studies, which reflect policy issues addressed during forecasting rounds since 2008. Each case study first describes a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010833274
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Estimation and forecasting using mixed-frequency DSGE models
Meyer-Gohde, Alexander; Shabalina, Ekaterina - 2022
higher frequency auxiliary data only for forecasting (see Giannone, Monti and Reichlin (2016)). The second method transforms … our method substantially decreases forecasting errors for recessions, but casting the model in a monthly frequency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013465707
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A double-edged sword: High interest rates in capital control regimes
Gudmundsson, Gudmundur S.; Zoega, Gylfi - 2016
This paper describes the relationship between central bank interest rates and exchange rates under a capital control regime. Higher interest rates may strengthen the currency by inducing owners of local currency assets not to sell local currency off shore. There is also an effect that goes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011416139
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A double-edged sword: High interest rates in capital control regimes
Gudmundsson, Gudmundur S.; Zoega, Gylfi - In: Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal 10 (2016) 2016-17, pp. 1-38
This paper describes the relationship between central bank interest rates and exchange rates under a capital control regime. Higher interest rates may strengthen the currency by inducing owners of local currency assets not to sell local currency offshore. There is also an effect that goes in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011498081
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A double-edged sword : high interest rates in capital control regimes
Gudmundsson, Gudmundur S.; Gylfi Zoega - 2016
This paper describes the relationship between central bank interest rates and exchange rates under a capital control regime. Higher interest rates may strengthen the currency by inducing owners of local currency assets not to sell local currency off shore. There is also an effect that goes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011415751