I investigate the association of China’s retaliatory soybean tariff on the Republican vote share change between the 2016 and 2018 mid-term elections. Using county-level election data, I find a significantly negative and spatially heterogeneous association between soybean tariff and Republican...

We investigate political budget cycles in China. To do so, we exploit cross-province variation in the timing of the Congress of the Communist Party, the most significant event in terms of promoting and re-appointing prefecture leaders. We find strong evidence of a cycle, with an acceleration in...