It is well documented that bond excess returns are time-varying and that they can be explained by predetermined risk factors. This paper builds a theoretical model to forecast excess returns on treasury bonds in the context of China's unique monetary system. Empirical evidence shows that bond...

As financial development progresses, the maturity structure of bond yields plays a rising role not only in the financial system but also as a key transmission channel of monetary policy. China is likely to be no exception. However, specific characteristics in China’s bond markets raise two...

The combination of American excess consumption and China's financial extravaganza in accumulating US treasuries has been widely perceived as a major contributor to global imbalances. The current research examines whether this curious partnership can be sustained by concentrating on the Chinese...

The impact of domestic and spillover macroeconomic news from the U.S., the Eurozone and China on national sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads and spread volatility are examined over a recent period of financial instability from November 2007 to March 2012. We find that better than...