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sense of very high investment and very low consumption, giving rise to rapid capital accumulation; and an imbalance between …. Both imbalances imply a low rate of time discount by both govern-ment and society: consumption in the present is forgone in … favour of consumption in the future. The paper examines how these imbalances came about, and goes on to consider whether they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148634
sense of very high investment and very low consumption, giving rise to rapid capital accumulation; and an imbalance between …. Both imbalances imply a low rate of time discount by both government and society: consumption in the present is forgone in … favour of consumption in the future. The paper examines how these imbalances came about, and goes on to consider whether they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009146904
In this paper, we conduct a dynamic panel analysis of the determinants of the household saving rate in China using a life cycle model and panel data on Chinese provinces for the 1995-2004 period from China's household survey. We find that China's household saving rate has been high and rising...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332228
Large uninsured risk, severe borrowing constraints, and rapid income growth can create excessively high household saving rates and large current account surpluses for emerging economies. Therefore, the massive foreign-reserve buildups by China are not necessarily the intended outcome of any...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130666
The current global-imbalance literature (which explains why capital flows from poor to rich countries) is unable to explain China's foreign asset positions because capital cannot flow out of China under capital controls. Hence, this literature has not succeeded in explaining China's large and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121003
sense of very high investment and very low consumption, giving rise to rapid capital accumulation; and an imbalance between …. Both imbalances imply a low rate of time discount by both government and society: consumption in the present is forgone in … favour of consumption in the future. The paper examines how these imbalances came about, and goes on to consider whether they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123488
We follow Woo (2011) in using the Catch-Up Index (CUI) to define the middle-income trap and identify the countries caught in it. The CUI shows that China became a middle-income country in 2007-2008. We see five major types of middle-income trap that China is vulnerable to (a) fiscal stress from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097879
In this chapter we review the recent literature on the effects of changing global demographic trends on consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023467
Just when China’s leaders receive conflicting signals of “overheating” and “below-potential growth”, they encounter tremendous external pressure to revalue the Renminbi (RMB) substantially. Our conclusion is that the major macroeconomic challenges have their roots in China’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062405
This paper introduces an alternative indicator to evaluate the external sector behavior of a country or region. The objective of this indicator, titled 'The External Sector Vulnerability Monitoring Index' (henceforth ESVM) (λ), is to offer policy-makers and researchers a new analytical tool to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544532