This paper presents some facts on China’s role in the world economy and measures the impact of China’s growth on growth in the rest of the world in the short and long term. Short-run estimates based on VARs and error-correction models suggest that spillover effects of...

Over the past decade, China’s growth model has become more reliant on investment and its footprint in global imports has widened substantially. Several economies within China’s supply chain are increasingly exposed to its investment-led growth and face growing risks from a...

Using three distinct approaches—statistical filtering, production function, and multivariate model— this paper estimates potential growth for China, India, and five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam) during 1993–2013. The main...

Now close to 50 percent of GDP, this paper assesses the appropriateness of China’s current investment levels. It finds that China’s capital-to-output ratio is within the range of other emerging markets, but its economic growth rates stand out, partly due to a surge in investment...

After skyrocketing over the past decade, commodity prices have remained stable or eased somewhat since mid-2011—and most projections suggest they are not likely to resume the upward trend observed in the last decade. This paper analyzes what this turn in the commodity price cycle may...

This study converses the effects of capital productivity and labour intensity on total factor productivity (TFP) intensity in ASEAN5 countries, namely Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand, plus 3 countries such as China, Japan and South Korea. This study contributes to the...

This study converses the effects of capital productivity and labour intensity on total factor productivity (TFP) intensity in ASEAN5 countries, namely Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand, plus 3 countries such as China, Japan and South Korea. This study contributes to the...