Using a dynamic CGE model this paper explores the effects of reform of the household registration (hukou) system in China on economic growth and rural - urban income equality over the period 2010 to 2020. It addresses the specific questions whether reform of the household registration system...

CHINAGEM is a MONASH-style dynamic Computable General Equilibrium model of China. This document provides an overview of CHINAGEM database and equation structure. We aim to provide CHINAGEM users with a practical guide. This document has five sections. Section 1 is the introduction. In Section 2...

China's dramatic economic growth during the past three decades is characterised by rapid industrialisation that was fuelled by a large pool of rural surplus labour in the agricultural sector. The large scale movement of labour from the agricultural to the industrial and services sectors witness...

The Second Agricultural Survey in China revealed that during 2006 about 130 million rural workers spent more than a month working outside the township of their residence. Most of these migrant workers engaged in industrial and services activities. They have played an increasingly important role...

Using adjusted 2000 population census data, this paper conducts China's population projections to 2050. Three fertility and four mortality scenarios yield 12 sets of results. Despite the below-replacement fertility, China's population will continue growing for many years. However, there are...

In this study, we simulated three potential scenarios of an Australia-China Free Trade Agreement (FTA): removal of border protection on merchandise trade, investment facilitation, and removal of barriers to services trade. The analytical framework is a multi-country, multi-sector computable...

The dramatic fertility decline since the beginning of 1970s has decelerated the growth of China's working age population. From 2015, this growth will turn sharply negative, resulting declining labour force in China. This has caused concerns about the sustainability of China's economic growth....

In this paper, I use the Monash Multi-Country (MMC) model - a dynamic CGE model of China, Australia and the Rest of the World - to analyse the effects of removing border protection on wheat and rice in China. The analysis points to the possibility that removing border protection on wheat and...

MC-HUGE is a dynamic Computable General Equilibrium model of the Chinese economy. The core CGE part of the MC-HUGE model is based on that of the ORANI model. The dynamic mechanism of MC-HUGE is based on that of the MONASH model. This paper documents how the MC-HUGE model is calibrated to China's...

Using China's 2000 census data, this paper conducts population projection under different fertility scenarios to gauge the likely trends in China's future population change. The range of fertility assumptions captures the uncertainty of current fertility estimates as well as the likely trends...