We study marketplace credit around a tightening of mortgage loan-to-value (LTV) caps in several cities in China in 2013. Using novel micro data covering all loans and loan applications at a leading marketplace credit platform, we provide evidence consistent with home buyers borrowing online to...

We examine the evolution and factors of systemic risk in the Chinese banking sector over the last decade from the perspective of international investors. We apply the SRISK measure of systemic risk to a representative sample of listed Chinese institutions that captures 50-60% of total banking...

The magnitude of the second one wave of India’s coronavirus surge became an increasing number of clear to the world, U.S. policymakers soon started to comprehend the strategic implications of India’s national trauma.U.S. President and his top officials publicly pledged their commitments to...

We examine the evolution and factors of systemic risk in the Chinese banking sector over the last decade from the perspective of domestic and international investors. We apply the SRISK measure of systemic risk to a representative sample of listed Chinese institutions that captures up to 60% of...

The People's Republic of China (PRC) is beginning a new wave of financial liberalization, which is necessary to support strong economic growth, but will financial liberalization lead to major financial crises, as happened in many middle-income countries? The empirical examinations conducted in...

This paper provides direct evidence of leverage-induced fire sales leading to a major stock market crash. Our analysis uses proprietary account-level trading data for brokerage- and shadow-financed margin accounts during the Chinese stock market crash in the summer of 2015. We find that margin...

We empirically evaluate how accounting and financial variables affect the level of systemic risk in traditional and shadow banks, and in real estate finance services in China over the period 2006-2019. We also conduct some stability analysis by evaluating the impact of crisis sub-periods. We...

The Central, East and Southeast European (CESEE) economies will experience on average a minor rebound of economic growth to 1% in 2010 which will speed up to 2.5% in 2011 and 3.5% in 2012. GDP growth will be higher in the CIS countries and in Turkey, about average in the Central European NMS and...

The report analyses recent economic developments and short- and medium-term prospects of the countries of Central and Eastern Europe, Southeast Europe including Turkey, as well as Kazakhstan, Russia, Ukraine and China. Separate chapters present an overview of developments in the European Union's...

After a long period of convergence, Central, East and Southeast Europe experienced a deep recession in 2009. The relatively moderate GDP decline (-3.6%) on average for the new EU member states (NMS) reflects Poland's weight in the group, the only EU country to have recorded positive GDP growth...