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History shows that governments usually rethink their views on international macroeconomic cooperation after the emergence of a crisis. The response of the Asian countries after the speculative attacks occurred in 1997 may be considered as another example after the European ERM crisis in 1992-93....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014114963
China's financial openness, as measured by cross border flows and asset ownership, peaked during its 2000s growth surge, as did downward pressure on global interest rates and price levels. This was despite China's restriction of financial inflows to approved FDI and tight controls on private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893909
Asia and China made disproportionate contributions to the slowdown of global trade growth in 2015. China's import growth slowed starkly, driven by both external and domestic factors, including a rebalancing of demand. Econometric results point to weak investment and rebalancing as the main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977866
Central to the global impacts of China's emergence has been its structural imbalance (its excess product supply and excess saving), but this has diminished considerably in the transition years since 2010. These imbalances are now reversed as its consumption expands faster than its GDP and so the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017884
Based on simulations of an original DGE model of the US, Chinese and Euro area economies with financial frictions and various monetary regimes, the paper shows that the contribution of China in global rebalancing should primarily rely on structural policies aiming at reducing aggregate savings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022120
Opinion over the global implications of China‘s rise is divided between critics, who see it as having developed at the expense of both investment and employment in the US, Europe and Japan and proponents who emphasise improvements in the terms of trade and reductions to the cost of financing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063473
Based on simulations of an original DGE model of the US and the Chinese economies under various monetary regimes, we show that an overhaul of China's social safety net is capable of reducing global imbalances whatever the exchange-rate regime, provided international capital flows are allowed to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010875336
Opinion over the global implications of China‘s rise is divided between critics, who see it as having developed at the expense of both investment and employment in the US, Europe and Japan and proponents who emphasise improvements in the terms of trade and reductions to the cost of financing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904270
Opinion over the global implications of China's rise is divided between critics and proponents. Critics see it as having developed at the expense of both investment and employment in the US, Europe and Japan. Proponents emphasise improvements in the terms of trade and reductions to the cost of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263546
The paper models international spillovers from a hypothetical drop of China's imports as a result of China's rebalancing of its growth model. A network-based model used in the paper allows capturing higher round network effects of the shock, which are largely unaccounted for in the existing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995279