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This paper presents some facts on China’s role in the world economy and measures the impact of China’s growth on growth in the rest of the world in the short and long term. Short-run estimates based on VARs and error-correction models suggest that spillover effects of...
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This paper analyzes spillovers from macroeconomic shocks in systemic economies (China, the Euro Area, and the United … States) to the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region as well as outward spillovers from a GDP shock in the Gulf … Autoregression (GVAR) model, estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2 to 2011Q2. Spillovers are transmitted across …
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-led growth and face growing risks from a deceleration in investment in China. This note quantifies potential global spillovers …
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We investigate the drivers of daily changes in the exchange value of the Chinese currency (CNY) since early 2016, when a new regime was introduced for setting the fix - the midpoint of the CNY's daily trading range against the U.S. dollar. Daily changes in the fix, which is announced just prior...
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