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This paper features an analysis of major currency exchange rate movements in relation to the US dollar, as constituted in US dollar terms. Euro, British pound, Chinese yuan, and Japanese yen are modelled using a variety of non-linear models, including smooth transition regression models,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378229
This paper features an analysis of major currency exchange rate movements in relation to the US dollar, as constituted in US dollar terms. Euro, British pound, Chinese yuan, and Japanese yen are modelled using a variety of non-linear models, including smooth transition regression models,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443686
We explore whether economic links via trade affect aggregate Chinese stock market returns. We find that market return indices from countries that China net exports from can forecast the Chinese aggregate market return at the weekly time horizon. Countries that China net exports to have no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098289
is studied by testing for cointegration, mapping causality using a technique called directed acyclic graphs (DAG), and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757844
Using multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DCCA), this paper studies cross-correlations between Chinese Renminbi (RMB) onshore and offshore markets. The dataset consists of 2,137 closing daily prices of exchange rates from 1 January 2005 to 9 July 2013, which covers seven major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012571
This study evaluates the in-sample and out-of-sample RMB exchange rate forecasting with a predictor of CNH-CNY pricing differential. Despite significant evidence of in-sample fit of conditional models at short horizons, we find that RMB exchange rate forecasts based on CNH-CNY spreads do not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989017
We explore whether economic links via trade affect aggregate Chinese stock market returns. We find that market return indices from countries that China net imports from can forecast the Chinese aggregate market return at the weekly time horizon. The stock returns of countries that China net...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010743972
This paper takes a new approach to investigate the interaction between the U.S. and China's stock markets. Since the U.S. and China's stock markets have no overlap in their trading hours, many empirical studies show that the daily returns on these two markets are not correlated. In this paper,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010784960
Co-integration test and vector error correction model as statistical techniques. This study explores that there is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213927
monthly) are analysed using fractional integration and fractional cointegration methods. Further, recursive cointegration … exhibit long memory. There is cointegration between the ASEAN five and the US but almost none between the former and China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891049