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Monthly economic indicators are used for a variety of purposes, from studying business cycles to determining economic policy and making informed business decisions. China's published monthly industrial output statistics could hardly be more confusing, with changes in variables, in coverage, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088423
China's investment rate is one of the highest in the world, which naturally leads one to suspect that the return to capital in China must be quite low. Using the data from China's national accounts, we estimate the rate of return to capital in China. We find that the aggregate rate of return to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861065
It is increasingly accepted that the gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate of the People's Republic of China (PRC … double-digit GDP growth. On the demand side, a low share of household income in GDP has required the PRC to maintain an … resources. Finally, the PRC has reached the point where the manufacturing share of GDP has peaked and will begin to decline as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255219
, with particular emphasis on his estimates of population, real GDP, and real GDP per capita for very long periods, going …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005518964
China is well-placed to avoid the so-called “middle-income trap” and to continue to converge towards the more advanced economies, even though growth is likely to slow from near double-digit rates in the first decade of this millennium to around 7% at the 2020 horizon. However, in order to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011277005
China is well-placed to avoid the so-called “middle-income trap” and to continue to converge towards the more advanced economies, even though growth is likely to slow from near double-digit rates in the first decade of this millennium to around 7% at the 2020 horizon. However, in order to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010231008
Market frictions prevent the efficient allocation of factors of production, slow down structural transformation and lead to costs in terms of lower output and aggregate total factor productivity (TFP). We use a theoretical framework developed by Aoki (2012) featuring sector-specific frictions on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960923
After impressive growth in the 2000s, China's productivity has more recently stagnated. We use firm-level data to analyze productivity and firm dynamism trends from 2003 to 2018. We document six facts that together show a decline in China’s business dynamism. We show that (i) the revenue share...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295127
increasingly more difficult after the real GDP doubling target was announced in 2012 and the official real GDP statistics lost …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012614250
Many claim that China will soon overtake the US. I argue that this claim is based on a misuse of statistics. The International Comparison Program (ICP) price data is necessary to compare living standards, since a dollar¡¯s worth of yuan buys more in China than a dollar buys in the US. But the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011210497