Cashin, Paul; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Raissi, Mehdi - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2012
This paper analyzes spillovers from macroeconomic shocks in systemic economies (China, the Euro Area, and the United … States) to the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region as well as outward spillovers from a GDP shock in the Gulf … Autoregression (GVAR) model, estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2 to 2011Q2. Spillovers are transmitted across …