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Traditional assessments of the impact of exchange rate depreciation or appreciation on trade have involved estimating the elasticity of trade volume to relative prices.Such studies relied heavily on aggregated trade data.More recent studies employ bilateral trade data and methodologies such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148522
We examine the role of capital account policy pertaining to productivity growth and labor allocation at the sectoral level. Using panel data from 45 countries from 1985–2012, we find that capital controls combined with reserve accumulation — strategic capital account policy — contribute to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844518
In this study, we mainly investigate how the domestic factors of China (trade openness, Kaopen, real interest rate, real government consumption and real GDP) affect the real exchange rate using Ridge regression and the VAR model from 1970-2015. The empirical results show, in the short run, that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952382
This paper examines the real exchange rate's (REER) response to the real GDP, FDI, M2, trade openness (OPEM), foreign reserves (FER) and government expenditure(GE) for Korea and China. The analyses are based on the VECM and NATREX models. In short run for China, we find that RGDP, FER and GE...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870556
We study the implication of a multipolarization of the international monetary system on cross-currency volatility. More specifically, we analyze whether the internationalization of the yuan could modify the impact of asset supply and trade shocks on the euro-dollar exchange rate, within a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292492
Der Druck auf die chinesische Regierung, die Wechselkursbindung des chinesischen Yuan an den US Dollar aufzugeben, ist groß. Seitdem der Dollar unter kontinuierlichem Abwertungsdruck steht, wird in den westlichen Industriestaaten Chinas Festkurs einer merkantilistischen Handelspolitik...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296338
Under the world dollar standard, a discrete appreciation by a dollar creditor country of the United States, such as China or Japan, has no predictable effect on its trade surplus. Currency appreciation by the creditor country will slow its economic growth and eventually cause deflation but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297476
For creditor countries on the periphery of the dollar standard such as China with current account surpluses, foreign mercantile pressure to appreciate their currencies and become more flexible is misplaced. Just the expectation of variable exchange appreciation seriously disrupts the natural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297543
In assessing Alexander Swoboda's great influence on economics, two themes stand out: the determinants of global inflation, particularly in the 1970s, and the choice of an exchange rate regime consistent with domestic monetary and fiscal policies. Although seemingly narrowly focused on China, our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010304732
This paper reviews the steps that China has taken towards financial reform with a particular focus on capital account liberalisation and internationalisation of the use of the renminbi. After a slowdown in reform momentum during the global financial crisis, there is a clear push towards reform,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011420991