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Anticipating critical transitions of Chinese housing markets

Zhang, Qunzi; Sornette, Didier; Zhang, Hao - 2017

We introduce a novel quantitative methodology to detect real estate bubbles and forecast their critical end time, which … calibration with respect to bootstrapped residuals. We make three main contributions to the literature of real estate bubbles … critical times of historical housing price bubbles in the U.S., Hong Kong, U.K. and Canada. Second, the LPPLS detection methods …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011761282

Is there a bubble in the Chinese housing market?

Dreger, Christian; Zhang, Yanqun - 2011

For many analysts, the Chinese economy is spurred by a bubble in the housing market, probably driven by the fiscal stimulus package and massive credit expansion, with possible adverse effects to the real economy. For example, the stock of loans increased by more than 50 percent since the end of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011550681

Is there a bubble in the Chinese housing market?

Dreger, Christian; Zhang, Yanqun - 2010

economy. -- Chinese economy ; panel cointegration ; house price bubbles …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008748352

Is there a bubble in the Chinese housing market?

Dreger, Christian; Zhang, Yanqun - 2010

. -- Chinese economy ; panel cointegration ; house price bubbles …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009272600

Is There a Bubble in the Chinese Housing Market?

Dreger, Christian; Zhang, Yanqun - 2011

For many analysts, the Chinese economy is spurred by a bubble in the housing market, probably driven by the fiscal stimulus package and massive credit expansion, with possible adverse effects to the real economy. To get insights into the size of the bubble, the house price evolution is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014044317

Does Housing Unaffordability Crowd Out Elites in Chinese Superstar Cities?

Chen, Jie - 2018

With prices soaring in Chinese superstar cities (i.e., Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen), housing is becoming increasingly unaffordable. This paper investigates whether housing unaffordability crowds out elites in Chinese superstar cities. Using both micro- and macro-level data from...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924503