takes explicit account of model uncertainty. To this end, the value function we propose is an analogue of the well …-known success-probability criterion adapted to settings characterized by model uncertainty. We apply this decision criterion to …

. Uncertainty about the future rate of growth of the economy and emissions and the risk of macroeconomic disasters (tail risks) also …

frameworks and techniques for analyzing climate policy in the context of uncertainty. This paper will give an overview of …

largely unknown how resource users cope with regime shifts, their uncertainty, and impacts. Here, we assess the potential for … of uncertainty about the presence of climate-induced thresholds on exploitation patterns. Results from four communities … evidence overwhelmingly proposing a negative relationship between uncertainty, collective action, and sustainable resource use …

Deep-seated, persistent uncertainty is a pernicious feature of climate change. One key parameter, equilibrium climate … for over thirty-five years. The marginal damages due to temperature increase rise rapidly. Thus, uncertainty in climate … known to be close to a mean value 3.0°C. The costs of this uncertainty are compounded given that the distribution of …