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With the Paris Agreement of 2016, 189 nations signed a legally binding document to keep global warming below 2 C, and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 C. It was recognized that this would reduce climate change impacts substantially. All signatories submitted "Intended...
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return expectations. In a comprehensive survey, we elicit experts' beliefs using both structured and open-ended questions. We …. Differences in experts' mental models explain variation in return expectations in the short-term (1-year) and long-term (10-year … expectations using an information provision experiment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014578273
return expectations. In a comprehensive survey, we elicit experts’ beliefs using both structured and open-ended questions. We …. Differences in experts’ mental models explain variation in return expectations in the short-term (1-year) and long-term (10-year … expectations using an information provision experiment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551420
We explore the use of large ensembles of climate scenarios to inform climate change adaptation in response to hydrological impacts on the freshwater environment, using a sensitive chalk river in south east England to illustrate the approach. The climateprediction.net experiment provides large...
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the robustness of all purportedly optimal solutions. This paper summarizes the additional uncertainty that is created by … assess and quantify the corresponding uncertainty. Assuming that climate change and other deep uncertainties cannot be …-making methodologies that are able to deal with climate-related uncertainty, namely cost-benefit analysis under uncertainty, cost …
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