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Energy transition metals
Boer, Lukas; Pescatori, Andrea; Stuermer, Martin - 2021
The energy transition requires substantial amounts of metals such as copper, nickel, cobalt and lithium. Are these metals a key bottleneck? We identify metal-specific demand shocks, estimate supply elasticities and pin down the price impact of the energy transition in a structural scenario...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012651692
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Forecasting facing economic shifts, climate change and evolving pandemics
Castle, Jennifer; Doornik, Jurgen A.; Hendry, David F. - In: Econometrics : open access journal 10 (2022) 1, pp. 1-21
By its emissions of greenhouse gases, economic activity is the source of climate change which affects pandemics that in turn can impact badly on economies. Across the three highly interacting disciplines in our title, time-series observations are measured at vastly different data frequencies:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012804940
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Forecasting global temperatures by exploiting cointegration with radiative forcing
Benati, Luca - 2023
I use Bayesian VARs to forecast global temperatures anomalies until the end of the XXI century by exploiting their … favorable median forecast predicts the land temperature anomaly to reach 5.6 Celsius degrees in 2100. Forecasts conditional on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014303938
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What drives the European carbon market? : macroeconomic factors and forecasts
Bastianin, Andrea; Mirto, Elisabetta; Qin, Yan; … - 2024
Putting a price on carbon - with taxes or developing carbon markets - is a widely used policy measure to achieve the target of net-zero emissions by 2050. This paper tackles the issue of producing point, direction-of-change, and density forecasts for the monthly real price of carbon within the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014470036
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Forecasting international financial stress : the role of climate risks
Del Fava, Santino; Gupta, Rangan; Pierdzioch, Christian; … - In: Journal of international financial markets, … 92 (2024), pp. 1-22
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014535723
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Forecasting international financial stress : the role of climate risks
Del Fava, Santino; Gupta, Rangan; Pierdzioch, Christian; … - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364827
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Assessing effects of exogenous assumptions in GHG emissions forecasts : a 2020 scenario study for Portugal using the Times energy technology model
Simoes, Sofia; Fortes, Patrícia; Seixas, Júlia; … - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 94 (2015), pp. 221-235
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011391600
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What the future holds : insights from social science
Cooper, Richard N. (ed.); Layard, Peter R. G. (contributor);  … - 2002
impacts and their related uncertainties / Stephen H. Schneider -- The world of work in the new millennium / Richard B. Freeman …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001577602
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Challenging the Bleak Climate Forecast for Georgian Bay (Updated)
Jowett Ph.D. P.Eng., E Craig - 2021
‘State of the Bay’ is an initiative of the Georgian Bay Biosphere Reserve (GBBR) which has forecast that water …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230535
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The social value of predicting hurricanes
Molina, Renato; Rudik, Ivan - 2022
Hurricanes are among the costliest natural disasters in the world, with a significant portion of their impact linked to … the US and develop a new approach for measuring the social value of forecast improvements. We find that pre …-landfall federal protective expenditures exponentially increase with the forecast wind speed and with the degree of uncertainty about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013426083