I present the case for the relationship between climatic oscillations and sovereign debt crisis between 1970 to 2018. I find strong empirical evidence of a relationship between the Antarctic Oscillation, the Madden-Julian Oscillation, the North Atlantic Oscillation, the Pacific North American...

This paper empirically examines the link between the cost of sovereign borrowing and climate risk for 40 advanced and emerging economies. Controlling for a large set of domestic and global factors, the paper shows that both vulnerability and resilience to climate risk are important factors...

This paper analyzes the implications of a gradual increase in the frequency of climatic disasters for public debt sustainability and sovereign default risk. I develop a simple stochastic model of sovereign default that allows for time-varying probability of climatic disasters. I show that the...