Based on predicted changes in the magnitude and distribution of global precipitation, temperature and river flow under the IPCC SRES A1B and A2 scenarios, this study assesses the potential impacts of climate change and CO2 fertilization on global agriculture. The analysis uses the new version of...

Climate variability affects the specialization and portfolio of production and trade in agricultural markets. Previous studies suggest that climate change has a negative impact on economic growth and production patterns, and in particular it significantly alters yields and commodity prices. This...

Extreme weather events can disrupt agricultural markets, but agricultural trade can help address subsequent food security concerns. Using the Aglink-Cosimo model, this stochastic scenario analysis sheds light on the complex relationships between trade and food security in an environment where...

This paper is one of a series of five outputs produced under the Food Security and Climate Change Initiative of the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD). It surveys the key trade issues in the ongoing negotiations addressing agriculture as a sectoral approach to mitigation...

This study reviews policy developments in recent years and, in the light of that, explores ways in which further consensus might be reached among WTO members to reduce farm trade distortions - and thereby also progress the multilateral trade reform agenda. Particular attention is given to ways...