The hypothesis that futures prices are an unbiased predictor of spot price is a joint hypothesis that the market is efficient and there is no risk premium. In order to test separately unbiasedness and market efficiency, cointegration techniques must be applied. The goal of this paper is assess...

In a panel of West African countries, we investigate whether data on immigrant remittance flows can be used to improve on predictive accuracy of aggregate demand in a systematic way. The results of the prediction experiments are compared to traditional significance tests of asymmetric error...

This study explores the link between proximity and price cointegration between two markets, where proximity is captured with variables for geographical, political and cultural distance. Linear and threshold cointegration is tested for a set of 756 rice market pairs in 6 West African countries,...