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This study analyzes the dynamics between real effective exchange rates and current account patterns from a novel perspective. We start by dissecting long-run and time-varying short-run dynamics between both variables. Following this, we extend our framework by including interest rates into our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010483886
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001699745
Forecasting exchange rates remains a tricky issue for economists. In spite of a theoretical consistent framework, macroeconomic models fail to beat random walk models and market expectations doesn't have any predictive power. This article addresses some problems of exchange rate macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062157
This paper examines the long-run validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) for four high-inflation countries. The method of Zivot and Andrews (1992) is employed to detect the time-series behavior of the exchange rates and consumer price indices of these countries. We find that these variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071881
This paper empirically investigates the impact of exchange rate volatility on the real exports in India using the ARDL bounds testing procedure proposed by Pesaran et al. (2001). Using annual time series data, the empirical analyses has been carried out for the period 1970 to 2011. The study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082330
This paper presents an empirical analysis of the medium-term determinants of the euro effective exchange rate. The empirical analysis builds on synthetic quarterly data from 1975 to 1998, and derives a Behavioural Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) and a Permanent Equilibrium Exchange Rate (PEER)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320272
This study analyzes the dynamics between real effective exchange rates and current accounts from a novel perspective. We start by dissecting long-run and time-varying short-run dynamics as well as causalities between both variables. Following this, we extend our framework by including short-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011440876
This paper presents a model yielding testable implications concerning the long-run co-movements of real exchange rates, relative productivity, the trade balance and terms of trade. Countries with higher productivity, trade deficits or improved terms of trade are found to have more appreciated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011587580
We used panel data analysis to evaluate the relative purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis of the ten ASEAN member …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011921966
ASEAN-5 currencies: Malaysian Ringgit, Indonesian Rupiah, the Philippines Peso, Thailand Bath, and Singapore Dollar. The …-run determinants variables for ASEAN-5 equilibrium REER …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063541