Many applied economists face problems in selecting an appropriate technique to estimate short and long run relationships with the time series methods. This paper reviews three alternative approaches viz., general to specific (GETS), vector autoregressions (VAR) and the vector error correction...

There are two intriguing questions about the transition process undertaken by the Ukraine since its declaration of sovereignty in December 1991. (i) Why had one of the more prosperous republics of the former USSR in terms of economic development and population welfare been suffering of both a...

This is an exploratory study that attempts to identify and provide empirical evidence on the possible determinants of the market capitalisation of the Harare Stock Exchange (HSE) with the view of understanding the development prospects of the HSE and other similar markets. The study used...

In this paper we investigate the possibility of the application of subsampling procedure for testing cointegration relations in large multivariate systems. The subsampling technique is applied to overcome the difficulty of nonstandard distribution and nuisance parameters in testing for...

This paper is an exercise in applied macroeconomic forecasting. We examine the forecasting power of a vector error-correction model (VECM) that is anchored by a long-run equilibrium relationship between Greek national income and productive public expenditure as suggested by the economic theory....

This paper analyzes the long-run dynamics between quality of institutions measured by recently developed Index of institutionalized social technologies, and Economic performance in the sample of 84 countries covering the period 2002-2006. Panel cointegration tests and FM OLS (Fully Modified OLS)...

This paper studies whether the commonly used linear parametric model for estimating aggregate energy demand is the correct functional specification for the data generating process. Parametric and nonparametric econometric approaches to analyzing aggregate energy demand data for 17 OECD countries...

The present paper contributes in existing economic literature by investigating the validity of the Keynesian Absolute Income hypothesis in Pakistan by applying the ARDL approach to cointegration. The findings of this paper validate the Keynesian absolute income hypothesis in Pakistan, where...

Forecasting the nominal exchange rate has been one of the most difficult exercises in economics. This study employs the Frankel (1979) monetary model of exchange rate to examine the long run behavior of Pakistan rupee per unit of US dollar over the period 1982:Q1 to 2012:Q2. Johansen and...

Three macroeconomic issues are examined in separate self-contained studies. The novelty is in the combination of time domain time series methods with bootstrap techniques. The combined technique is here used to analyze issues where accuracy in inference, rather than the lack of theory, has...