Inflation is a monetary phenomenon. While this statement is widely accepted in terms of a long-run relationship, the quantity theory has been made operational also for the short-run dynamics of inflation by so-called Pstar models. An error correction model with quarterly data for the Euro Area...

In this paper, we analyze new possibilities in predicting daily ranges, i.e. differences between daily high and low prices. We empirically assess efficiency gains in volatility estimation when using range-based estimators as opposed to simple daily ranges and explore the use of these more...

Contrary to the common wisdom that asset prices are barely possible to forecast, we show that that high and low prices of equity shares are largely predictable. We propose to model them using a simple implementation of a fractional vector autoregressive model with error correction (FVECM). This...

This empirical research explores the interaction between the overnight currency swap rates (Turkish lira rates) and BIST overnight repo rates. In this context, the derived no arbitrage condition reveals that the differential between the two rates is determined by Libor, financial institutions’...

This paper investigates the existence of arbitrage between index linked bonds and conventional ones. Then in a second part we move to study empirically the long-run equilibrium relationship among two French bonds yields (The OAT yields and OATi ). In practice we estimated different VAR-based...

This study evaluates the degree of convergence among the housing markets of 10 major economies across North America, Europe and Asia. Long-run results indicate that the housing markets have become increasingly interdependent over time and more so after the onset of the most recent housing...