Showing 1 - 10 of 1,300
-time capacity to forecast GDP and consumption. A Bayesian error correction approach augmented with the consumer sentiment index and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264635
using Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques. …A Bayesian model averaging procedure is presented that makes use of a finite mixture of many model structures within …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325721
The empirical support for a real business cycle model with two technology shocks is evaluated using a Bayesian model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326026
valuated using Bayesian model averaging over vector autoregressions. The model features include equilibria, restrictions on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326330
analyses of monetary policy. Existing Bayesian procedures for structural VARs are at best confined to a severly limited … handling of cointegration restrictions. This paper extends the Bayesian analysis of structural VARs to cover cointegrated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636519
Prepared for the Handbook of Economic Forecasting, vol 2 This chapter reviews Bayesian methods for inference and … forecasting with VAR models. Bayesian inference and, by extension, forecasting depends on numerical methods for simulating from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012654382
Vector autoregressions have steadily gained in popularity since their introduction in econometrics 25 years ago. A drawback of the otherwise fairly well developed methodology is the inability to incorporate prior beliefs regarding the system's steady state in a satisfactory way. Such prior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321341
using Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques. …A Bayesian model averaging procedure is presented that makes use of a finite mixture of many model structures within …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377110
The empirical support for a real business cycle model with two technology shocks is evaluated using a Bayesian model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380727
In systems of variables with a specified or already identified cointegrating rank, stationarity of component variates can be tested by a simple restriction test. The implied decision is often in conflict with the outcome of unit root tests on the same variables. Using a framework of Bayes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009725490