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In this note we establish the existence of the first two moments of the asymptotic trace statistic, which appears as weak limit of the likelihood ratio statistic for testing the cointe- gration rank in a vector autoregressive model and whose moments may be used to develop panel cointegration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003814491
This paper takes a multiple testing perspective on the problem of determining the cointegrating rank in macroeconometric panel data with cross-sectional dependence. The testing procedure for a common rank among the panel units is based on Simes’ (1986) intersection test and requires only the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011453075
We show how the use of panel data methods such as those proposed in single equations by Kao (1999) and Pedroni (1999) or in systems by Larsson and Lyhagen (1999) to investigate economic hypotheses such as purchasing power parity or the term structure of interest rates may be affected by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014135208
We develop exact distribution-free test procedures for joint inference about the forward rate unbiasedness hypothesis (FRUH) across multiple currencies. The procedures can be applied with either levels or differences specifications. This unified approach proceeds with sign and signed rank tests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403075
This paper proposes two new panel cointegrating rank tests which are robust to cross-sectional dependency. The dependence in the data generating process is modeled using unobserved common factors. The new tests are based on a metaanalytic approach, in which the p-values of the individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392830
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001690032
In this paper we analyse bootstrap procedures for systems cointegration tests with a prior adjustment for deterministic terms suggested by Saikkonen & Lütkepohl (2000b) and Saikkonen, Lütkepohl & Trenkler (2006). The asymptotic properties of the bootstrap test procedures are derived and their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003324256
A test for the cointegrating rank of a vector autoregressive (VAR) process with a possible shift and broken linear trend is proposed. The break point is assumed to be known. The setup is a VAR process for cointegrated variables. The tests are not likelihood ratio tests but the deterministic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003376003
distribution theory and local power results. The tests are (quasi-)likelihood ratio tests based on a Gaussian likelihood, but of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621711
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191001