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In this study, we investigate the existence of long-term co-movements among the prices of commodity futures contracts. We use a cointegration test, which accounts for the presence of a structural break. We show that while there is a long-term relationship among agricultural and among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010492392
As a source of energy of biofuel and edible oil, the fluctuation of crude palm oil prices is the concern of producers and manufacturers. However, little is known about the impact of global financial crisis on informational efficiency of crude palm oil (CPO) futures market. Hence, this study aims...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022032
As the world's largest importer, trading of iron ore occupies a pivotal position in China's international trade. In order to seek the decision power of deciding the price for iron ore, China's Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) listed iron ore futures in October 2013,which has become the world's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012176079
In this paper we apply the recently developed fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model to analyze price discovery in the spot and futures markets for five non-ferrous metals (aluminium, copper, lead, nickel, and zinc). The FCVAR model allows for long memory (fractional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010381431
For a considerable time, long-only index funds have been suspected of being responsible for price increases on agricultural futures markets, particularly those for grain. Utilizing partial equilibrium concepts, we analyze the market impacts of long-only index funds. Our analysis reveals that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010355849
The purpose of this paper is to analyze market reflexivity in agricultural futures contracts with different maturities. To this end, we apply a four-dimensional Hawkes model to storable and non-storable agricultural commodities. We find market reflexivity for both storable and non-storable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293242
In this paper, we show that large inflows into commodity investments, a recent phenomenon known as financialization, has changed the behavior and dependence structure between commodities and the general stock market. The common perception is that the increase in comovements is the result of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339396
In this paper, we show that large inflows into commodity investments, a recent phenomenon known as financialization, has changed the behavior and dependence structure between commodities and the general stock market. The common perception is that the increase in comovements is the result of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410769
Understanding volatility transmissions amongst commodity futures and the stock market is integral for risk management. In this study, we investigate the time-varying volatility spillovers amongst nine major commodity futures and the US S\&P 500 index across three decades. We also analyse the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349612
We investigate the role of crude oil spot and futures prices in the process of price discovery by using a cost-of-carry model with an endogenous convenience yield and daily data over the period from January 1990 to December 2008. We provide evidence that futures markets play a more important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003949493