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In general, central banks are concerned with keeping the inflation rate stable while also sustaining output close to an … efficient level. Under "inflation targeting", forecasts of the evolution of the general price level are an essential input for … policy decisions and these are usually released in quarterly "Inflation Reports". The costs and benefits of transparency in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011880436
I study the determinants of capital flows to Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico, assessing the relative importance of domestic and global factors. I estimate six VECM models, one for each Latin American country plus the Euro Area, Japan, and USA, and then embed them in a multi-country Global VAR. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728441
inflation convergence using different approaches, namely panel unit root tests, cointegration tests and error-correction models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426361
Ireland and Switzerland both had rising inflation during the early 1970s, but their experiences diverged thereafter, so … that they form a rare example of two countries whose inflation rates are poorly correlated with one another over the Great … Inflation period. In addition, each of the two countries' records is anomalous in important respects relative to other economies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012733976
This article was prepared for the Special Issue "Celebrated Econometricians: Katarina Juselius and Søren Johansen" of Econometrics. It is based on material recorded on 30-31 October 2018 in Copenhagen. It explores Katarina Juselius’ research, and discusses inter alia the following issues:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013355175
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003595805
igniting inflationary pressure. In this paper the evidence for a change in the relationship between inflation and unemployment … impact of including explicit inflation expectations is also considered. This channel has not been explored in previous work … based on Kalman filter estimates of the NAIRU for the United States and United Kingdom. Inflation expectations are found to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076249
Using monthly headline inflation data covering 184 countries for the period between 1971:M1 and 2020:M12, this paper … investigates the role of standard gravity variables on inflation convergence across bilateral countries. The convergence analysis … proximity between countries increases the probability of inflation convergence, where the effects of having a common currency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314216
. Based on cointegration tests, we find a long-run equilibrium relationship between financial development and real price level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014220988