people neglect correlations in the updating process, leading to systematically "overshooting" beliefs. This finding lends …

We report on two novel choice experiments with real goods where subjects in one treatment are forced to choose, as is … the norm in economic experiments, while in the other they are not but can instead incur a small cost to defer choice … by rational choice. Our results suggest that nonforced‐choice experiments and models can be helpful in separating people …

when individuals derive anticipatory utility from holding motivated, overly optimistic beliefs about the workload they need … for motivated reasoning allows workers to hold substantially more optimistic beliefs and identify a causal link between … the exogenous variation in beliefs and the deferral of work to the future. This systematic belief-based delay of work …

anticipatory utility from holding optimistic beliefs about their future effort costs. This study provides a rigorous empirical test … beliefs among workers, which causally increase the deferral of work to the future. The roots for biased beliefs stem from …