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Civilians who have fled violent conflict and settled in neighboring countries are integral to processes of civil war … critical phases of conflict termination - a ceasefire and a peace agreement. We test the malleability of refugees' attitudes to …
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Despite informality being the norm in conflict-affected countries, most estimates of the impact of conflict on economic … activity rely on formal sector data. Using high-frequency data from Afghanistan, this paper assesses how surges in conflict … in conflict-related casualties has a strong negative impact on formal economic activity in the following quarter and a …
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Subnational groups employ a variety of strategies to contest governments. While democratic states offer a broader array of accessible options, autocratic regimes are more difficult to contest via conventional means. Why do subnational groups stage sovereignty referendums across regime types? Our...
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A game-theoretic model of repeated interaction between two potential adversaries is analyzed to illustrate how conflict … players. During each period, each adversary must decide to either stage an attack or not. Conflict ensues if either player … period of tranquility. When this happens, it is as if conflict has suddenly arisen without any apparent cause or impetus …
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