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Consumer confidence indicators and economic fluctuations in Nigeria
Ibrahim, Adamu; Bawa, Sani; Abdullahi, Ismaila S.; … - In: CBN journal of applied statistics 6 (2015) 1, pp. 285-300
Consumer confidence indicators(CCI) serve as a veritable tool for providing useful information to policy makers … of consumers in their expectations about the general state of the economy, even if their pessimism were not based on … economic fundamentals. This study evaluated the predictive ability of the CCI in forecasting economic fluctuations in Nigeria …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473528
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Why prediction markets work: The role of information acquisition and endogenous weighting
Siemroth, Christoph - 2014
In prediction markets, investors trade assets whose values are contingent on the occurrence of future events, like election outcomes. Prediction market prices have been shown to be consistently accurate forecasts of these outcomes, but we don't know why. I formally illustrate an information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441838
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Why prediction markets work: The role of information acquisition and endogenous weighting
Siemroth, Christoph - 2014
In prediction markets, investors trade assets whose values are contingent on the occurrence of future events, like election outcomes. Prediction market prices have been shown to be consistently accurate forecasts of these outcomes, but we don't know why. I formally illustrate an information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441865
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Why prediction markets work : the role of information acquisition and endogenous weighting
Siemroth, Christoph - 2014
In prediction markets, investors trade assets whose values are contingent on the occurrence of future events, like election outcomes. Prediction market prices have been shown to be consistently accurate forecasts of these outcomes, but we don't know why. I formally illustrate an information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490362
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Why prediction markets work : the role of information acquisition and endogenous weighting
Siemroth, Christoph - 2014 - This version: December 3, 2014
In prediction markets, investors trade assets whose values are contingent on the occurrence of future events, like election outcomes. Prediction market prices have been shown to be consistently accurate forecasts of these outcomes, but we don't know why. I formally illustrate an information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011492072
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Cultural diversity on Wall Street : evidence from consensus earnings forecasts
Merkley, Kenneth; Michaely, Roni; Pacelli, Joseph - In: Journal of accounting & economics 70 (2020) 1, pp. 1-24
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301666
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Why prediction markets work : The role of information acquisition and endogenous weighting
Siemroth, Christoph - Abteilung für Volkswirtschaftslehre, Universität Mannheim - 2014
In prediction markets, investors trade assets whose values are contingent on the occurrence of future events, like election outcomes. Prediction market prices have been shown to be consistently accurate forecasts of these outcomes, but we don't know why. I formally illustrate an information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010833234
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Predicting box office with and without markets: Do internet users know anything?
McKenzie, Jordi - In: Information Economics and Policy 25 (2013) 2, pp. 70-80
This study investigates and compares predictions of opening weekend box office revenue from an online prediction game, the Derby, and an online prediction market, the Hollywood Stock Exchange (HSX), using a sample of 141 films released in 2007. Overall, both mechanisms provide accurate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010682545
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Why prediction markets work : the role of information acquisition and endogenous weighting
Siemroth, Christoph - Abteilung für Volkswirtschaftslehre, Universität Mannheim - 2014
In prediction markets, investors trade assets whose values are contingent on the occurrence of future events, like election outcomes. Prediction market prices have been shown to be consistently accurate forecasts of these outcomes, but we don't know why. I formally illustrate an information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011161440
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Forecasting and policy making
Wieland, Volker; Wolters, Maik Hendrik - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368564