We use retail Structured Equity Product (SEP) issuances to construct a new sentiment measure for individual stocks. The SEP sentiment measure predicts negative abnormal returns on the SEPs' reference stocks based on a variety of benchmarks including behavioral factor models and factors based on...

Habits and sentiment are key psychological behaviors in asset pricing. This paper studies the interactive impacts of sentiment and habits on asset pricing using the Campbell and Cochrane 1999 habit model as a framework model. A positive sentiment shock emanating from firms is modeled in the...

This paper examines the relationship between investor sentiment and UK stock returns at economy and industry level. Using consumer and business confidence indicators provided by the European Commission, we provide novel evidence on whether sector-specific sentiment differs from the aggregate...

This study explores the nexus between investors’ sentiments and herding behavior toward the market consensus in the U.S. and Europe stock markets from January, 2005 to April, 2021. We document strong evidence of herding during periods characterized by high level of sentiments. Our results...

The Baker and Wurgler (2006) sentiment index purports to measure irrational investor sentiment, while the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is designed to largely reflect fundamentals. Removing this fundamental component from the Baker and Wurgler index creates an index of investor...

We provide evidence that people do not consistently incorporate their beliefs into investment decisions. Our experimental findings indicate that selling is considerably less belief-driven than buying. This difference stems from selling decisions in the presence of paper losses for which we...

The focus of this paper is on nowcasting and forecasting quarterly private consumption. The selection of real-time, monthly indicators focuses on standard (“hard”/“soft” indicators) and less-standard variables. Among the latter group we analyze: i) proxy indicators of economic and policy...

In this paper, we disentangle investor sentiment into two components: mood and household attitudes towards the economy. We apply acoustical analysis to the daily top ten of music downloads in iTunes for Germany to derive a novel and direct measure for mood. We match this novel mood index with...