Trimmed-mean Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation does not clearly dominate ex-food-and-energy PCE … inflation in real-time forecasting of headline PCE inflation. However, trimmed-mean inflation is the superior communications and … policy tool because it is a less-biased real-time estimator of headline inflation and because it more successfully filters …

We empirically examine and compare the determinants of producer and consumer price inflation in 10 Asian economies … are more important in explaining producer price inflation than consumer price inflation in the 10 Asian economies. On the … other hand, for consumer prices, demand-pull factors still explain much of the inflation. Finally, we find that the …

movements do not have an impact on inflation, as aggregate rules of thumb mask substantial heterogeneities across countries … deviations of inflation from target, including those relating to exchange rate fluctuations. Moreover, under the effective lower … inflation. …

costs across product groups. We show that, after the referendum, inflation increased by more for product groups with higher …

Inflation dynamics have been difficult to explain over the last decade. This paper explores if a more comprehensive … treatment of globalization can help. CPI inflation has become more synchronized around the world since the 2008 crisis, but core … and wage inflation have become less synchronized. Global factors (including commodity prices, world slack, exchange rates …

The objective of this research paper is to examine the relationship between relative price variability and inflation by … demonstrated that there is a probable relationship between inflation (DPt) and both un-weighted measures of price variability (VPt …

Our paper studies the relationship between money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area using wavelet … analysis. Wavelet analysis allows to account for variations in the money growth-inflation relationship both across the … frequency spectrum and across time. We find evidence of strong comovements between money growth and inflation at low frequencies …

A major challenge for monetary policy has been predicting how exchange rate movements will impact inflation. We propose …

inflation should differ between inflation and deflation episodes, using data for Japan and Hong Kong. We use a random cross … both the inflation and deflation periods, and the parameter on the second moment changes sign in the deflation period, as … the theory predicts. Keywords: inflation, deflation, menu costs, Hong Kong, Japan. …

In this paper we model monthly UK inflation and find that there is some small but significant autocorrelation …, particularly at 12 months. We find that this autocorrelation in monthly inflation leads to significant persistence in the headline … annual inflation figure. A one-off shock to monthly inflation will have an effect on the headline figure equal to 10% of the …