For the euro debt crisis, we assess the relevance of financial contagion from an investor perspective. We find that contagion, which we identify through the joint occurrence of extremely negative bond returns, has only small and transitory effects on broad government bond portfolios. For...

In this paper we analyze the link between stock market performance and macroeconomic performance for a large number of countries. We study the short-run and long-run relationships and find that stock market returns do not coherently predict future macroeconomic changes for the majority of...