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response of commodity prices to the shock. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012320991
disruptions are found to double the negative output response to an uncertainty shock. We then employ our model to estimate the … overall economic cost of the COVID-19-induced uncertainty shock under different scenarios. Our results point to the … interventions that keep credit conditions as healthy as they were before the COVID-19 uncertainty shock are found to substantially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012245103
standard demand shock. We then calibrate the demand shock to generate the computed decline in net revenues associated to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012312927
factors from trade-related spillovers, and identify the Covid-19 shock using GDP growth forecast revisions of the IMF in 2020Q …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293790
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explain not only the spread of the disease, but also cross-country spillovers in perceptions about coronavirus risk and in … social distancing behavior. In the early phases of the pandemic, perceptions of coronavirus risk in most countries are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263745
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We construct a news-based viral disease index and study the dynamic impact of epidemics on the world economy, using structural vector autoregressions. Epidemic shocks have persistently negative effects, both directly and indirectly, on affected countries and on world output. The shocks lead to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197902
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