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sticky-price version of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve does a good job of approximating US inflation dynamics. However … to the entire underlying model of the NKPC. Thus I conclude that the NKPC fails to give a sound explanation of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003777825
inflation are co-breaking. We argue that the step-like development of inflation is in line with shocks and monetary policy that …% inflation was accomplished by introducing an inflation targeting regime. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544982
Two Bayesian sampling schemes are outlined to estimate a K-state Markov switching model with time-varying transition probabilities. Data augmentation for the multinomial logit model of the transition probabilities is alternatively based on a random utility and a difference in random utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010493611
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191432
We present a framework for interpretation of the empirical results of New Keynesian models of inflation dynamics. Both … literature. For example, we show that the unit-root form of non-stationary may be implied for inflation even though the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009301212
Inflation dynamics have been difficult to explain over the last decade. This paper explores if a more comprehensive … treatment of globalization can help. CPI inflation has become more synchronized around the world since the 2008 crisis, but core … and wage inflation have become less synchronized. Global factors (including commodity prices, world slack, exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225141
aggregate demand still can cause significant inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013337333
The authors solve the IS puzzle for the G7 countries. They find that five of the G7 countries have the expected significant negative relationship between the output gap and the realrate gap; the time series of the remaining two show material deviation from expected IScurve behavior. The authors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011650342
Building on the results in Nalewaik (FEDS 2015-93), this work models wage growth and core PCE price inflation as regime … price inflation that becomes much larger after labor markets tighten beyond a certain point. The results are informative for … assessing the likelihood and risks of meeting certain inflation targets on a sustained basis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578735
A statistically significant relationship between the unemployment gap and inflation can be found for a clear majority … slack on inflation can often be dominated by other shocks, including imported inflation. The current Secretariat Phillips … curve specification assumes inflation expectations are anchored at the central bank’s target, although some experimentation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012202854