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shocks, discretionary measures remain ill-timed from a stabilisation perspective even when observable and politically more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306605
The central objective of this paper is to empirically examine the issue of fiscal sustainability in developing Asia. To do so, we first diagnose the region's public finances by analyzing the evolution of key fiscal indicators over time and across subregions. We then estimate fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003984753
Latin America is a volatile, crisis-prone region, with limited and inadequate social insurance. Therefore, the long-term as well as the recent poor suffer significantly during crises. Furthermore, social spending is procyclical in the region, but less so than total spending, indicating that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001793429
Structural budget-balance rules with countercyclical elements appear well suited to stabilize the macroeconomic volatility of oil-exporting countries and have been used successfully by other commodity exporters. Using a global DSGE model, the efficient design of such rules is found to depend on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071925
Using financial statement data from the Thomson Reuter's Worldscope database for 22,333 non-financial firms in 52 advanced and emerging economies, this paper examines how fiscal stimulus (i.e., changes in structural deficit) interacted with sectoral business cycle sensitivity affected corporate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895130
This paper documents the spread of fiscal rules in the developing world and investigates the relation between fiscal rules and procyclical fiscal policy. We find that, since the early 2000s, developing countries outnumbered advanced economies as users of fiscal rules. Rules were adopted either...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032930
shocks, discretionary measures remain ill-timed from a stabilisation perspective even when observable and politically more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315041
We assess the cyclicality of fiscal policy in the 19 Euro area countries, notably during recessions, for the period 1995-2020. We use a time-varying measure of fiscal cyclicality to describe fiscal policy developments. The results suggest that during recessions discretionary fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321855
It is shown empirically that, for the US economy, fiscal stimulus has increased total consumption, but has depressed economic growth. Therefore, decades of fiscal stimulus has been a continual depressant on US economic growth and moved the economy closer to the Keynesian singularity defined as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998654
The Obama Administration stimulus package, based on widely accepted Keynesian principles, did not succeed. There is little agreement on why. Some liberals say the stimulus should have been bigger. Some conservatives says tax cuts would have been better than spending increases. Some oppose...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109467