Yunculer, Burcu Gurcihan; Sengul, Gonul; Yavuz, Arzu - In: Central Bank Review 14 (2014) 1, pp. 23-45
This paper examines various variables that are likely to be associated with the Turkish non-agricultural unemployment … performance of these series to assess their informativeness about the unemployment rate. We find that Business Tendency Survey …-term forecast performance of the autoregressive benchmark model, where we use only lagged values of the unemployment rate. …