The sharp fall of property prices after the Asian financial crisis has led many residential mortgage holders in Hong Kong to experience negative equity. Among other factors, this study looks at the impact of negative equity on the probability of default on mortgage loans, which is an important...

Empirical findings and theoretical studies suggest that firms adjust toward time-varying target leverage ratios. This paper studies the performances of the default probabilities generated from two structural credit risk models (one with time-dependent leverage ratios and one with constant target...