The sharp fall of property prices after the Asian financial crisis has led many residential mortgage holders in Hong Kong to experience negative equity. Among other factors, this study looks at the impact of negative equity on the probability of default on mortgage loans, which is an important...

This paper estimates macroeconomic credit risk of banks¡¦ loan portfolio based on a class of mixture vector autoregressive models. Such class of models can differentiate distributions of default rates and macroeconomic conditions for different market situations and can capture their dynamics...