In this article, a risk-adjusted return on capital (RAROC) valuation scheme for loans is derived. The critical assumption throughout the article is that no market information on a borrower's credit quality like bond or CDS (Credit Default Swap) spreads is available. Therefore, market-based...

In terms of regulatory and economic capital, credit risk is the most significant risk faced by banks. We implement a credit risk model - based on publicly available information . with the aim of developing a tool to monitor credit risk in a sample of large and complex banking groups (LCBGs) in...

Various economic theories are available to explain the existence of credit and default cycles. There remains empirical ambiguity, however, as to whether or these cycles coincide. Recent papers_new suggest by their empirical research set-up that they do, or at least that defaults and credit...

We model 1927-1997 U.S. business failure rates using a time series approach based on unobserved components. Clear evidence is found of cyclical behavior in default rates. The cycle has a period of around 10 years. We also detect longer term movements in default probabilities and default...

This article analyzes the credit rating agency reform provisions of the Dodd-Frank Act's “Improvements to the Regulation of Credit Rating Agencies” in light of the massive failures in the ratings of structured finance securities leading up to the 2008 credit crisis. The primary cause of...

This paper investigates one main of credit derivatives instruments, known as credit default swaps. CDS is very popular instruments in the credit market which is trading by governments, firms, investors. Credit default swaps, is contracted between two parties for a one party payment small amount...

This work presents a theoretical and empirical evaluation of the Anderson-Darling test when the sample size is limited. The test can be applied in order to back-test the risk factor dynamics in the context of counterparty credit risk modelling. We show the limits of this test when back-testing...