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Roll rates and net flow rates can be seen as the evolution of ageing of accounts receivable and Markov chains. They are accepted methodologies to model the behavior of non-performing consumer loans by buckets and to predict losses, but we find that quite often they are wrongly used as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013485817
We empirically study how the underlying riskiness of the pool of home equity line of credit originations is affected over the credit cycle. Drawing from the largest existing database of U.S. home equity lines of credit, we use county-level aggregates of these loans to estimate panel regressions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121636
find that borrowers with a high probability of default are more responsive to maturity than interest rate changes. I also … argue that risk-based pricing may lead to an increase in loan maturity and loan default, rather than alleviating the adverse … selection present on the lending market. Empirical evidence suggests that loan performance is time-dependent and default depends …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022676
This paper examines the disparity in default risk between vulnerable and non-vulnerable populations in consumer lending … the probability of default. We find that vulnerable individuals have a higher risk than non-vulnerable individuals …. Specifically, interest rates explain at least 30 percent of the risk gap. We also find that the default probabilities faced by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014557435
We study whether a default option attached to non-recourse mortgages improves borrowers' surplus from mortgage … default rates. We find that the interest rate of non-recourse mortgage decreases with the borrower's surplus from home …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908936
significantly reduces severe financial distress, decreasing the likelihood of filing for bankruptcy by 61% in the three years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015053784
(including unsecured debt, liquid assets, and illiquid assets) play in default decisions. In sharp contrast to prior studies that … strongest predictor of default. We find that individual unemployment increases the probability of default by 5 - 13 percentage … points, ceteris paribus, compared with the sample average default rate of 3.9 percent. We also find that only 13.9 percent of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009778409
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382564
Whereas recent studies on revolving lines of credit suggest a positive relationship between exposure at default and … default probability on the line, this paper considers the relationship between two financial instruments through the … simultaneous analysis of credit line utilization and default probability on a personal loan. We model both financial instruments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092704
Strategic default behavior suggests that the default process is not only a matter of inability to pay. Economic costs … and benefits affect the incidence and timing of defaults. As with prior research, the authors find that people default … strategically as their home value falls below the mortgage value (exercise the put option to default on their first mortgage). While …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905985