Showing 1 - 10 of 2,095
A standard, no-recourse mortgage contract does not adjust when the value of the underlying collateral falls. Consequently, shocks that lower house prices may trigger one of the necessary conditions for default: negative equity. A common alternative contract attempts to prevent default by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410355
Despite the single currency, yields on government bonds in the Euro Area deviate from German bond yields. These bond spreads are usually attributed to differing default and liquidity risks. Recent research points out that time-varying global factors, approximated by risk measures or short term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003877786
In this paper, we propose a model of the joint dynamics of euro-area sovereign yield curves. The arbitrage-free valuation framework involves five factors and two regimes, one of the latter being interpreted as a crisis regime. These common factors and regimes explain most of the fluctuations in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117964
In this paper, we present a general discrete-time affine framework aimed at jointly modeling yield curves associated with different debtors. The underlying fixed-income securities may differ in terms of credit quality and/or in terms of liquidity. The risk factors follow conditionally Gaussian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121415
In this paper, I develop a joint affine macro-finance model of the term structures of US Treasury yields and US corporate bond yields to study the interrelation between corporate lending conditions and the macro economy. A model with inflation, industrial production growth and three latent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093473
We investigate how government borrowing behaviors influence the private sector by exploring the relationship between government debt maturity and the term structure of credit spreads. Using the data of individual corporate bonds between 1972 and 2015, we find that a longer government debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834762
This paper studies the macroeconomic determinants of the term structures of Treasury yields, corporate bond credit spreads, and corporate bond liquidity spreads in a unified no-arbitrage framework. Four economic factors, monetary conditions, inflation, real output, and financial market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896270
The paper considers a no-arbitrage setting for pricing and relative value analysis of risky sovereign bonds. The typical case of an emerging market country (EM) that has bonds outstanding both in foreign hard currency (Eurobonds) and local soft currency (treasuries) is inspected. The resulting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937615
I study the term structure of credit default swap spreads to understand the dynamics of global and country-specific risk factors in explaining the time-variation in sovereign credit risk. The analysis suggests that the shape of the term structure conveys significant information on the relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938644
The shape of the term structure of credit default swap spreads is an informative signal about the relative importance of global and domestic risk factors to the time variation of sovereign credit spreads. Using a geographically dispersed panel of 44 countries, I show that the relative importance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005733