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Cyclicality in the losses of bank loans is important for bank risk management. Because loans have a different risk profile than bonds, evidence of cyclicality in bond losses need not apply to loans. Based on unique data we show that the default rate and loss given default of bank loans share a...
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We study the relation between the credit cycle and macro-economic fundamentals in an intensity-based framework. Using … the credit cycle from the micro rating data. We relate this cycle to the business cycle, bank lending conditions, and … financial market variables. In line with earlier studies, these variables appear to explain part of the credit cycle. As our …
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