This paper focuses on the key credit risk parameter Loss Given Default (LGD). We describe its general properties and determinants with respect to seniority of debt, characteristics of debtors or macroeconomic conditions. Further, we illustrate how the LGD can be extracted from market observable...

Up to the 2007 crisis, research within bottom‐up CDO models mainly concentrated on the dependence between defaults. However, due to the substantial increase in the market price of systemic credit risk protection, more attention has been paid to recovery rate assumptions.In this paper, we focus...

This paper presents a switching regime version of the Merton's structural model for the pricing of default risk. The default event depends on the total value of the firm's asset modeled by a Markov modulated Lévy process. The novelty of our approach is to consider that firm's asset jumps...

Several models of how to price synthetic CDOs are presented. The study focuses on comparison of classical Gaussian copula with NIG copula, double t-copula and gaussian stochastic correlation model. Because the the t-copula is technically the most demanding of the presented approaches and usually...

We consider the filtering model of Frey & Schmidt (2012) stated under the real probability measure and develop a method for estimating the parameters in this framework by using time-series data of CDS index spreads and classical maximum-likelihood algorithms. The estimation-approach incorporates...

Most studies focusing on the determinants of loss given default (LGD) have largely ignored possible lagged effects of the macroeconomy on LGD. We fill this gap by employing a wide set of macroeconomic covariates on a retail portfolio that represents 15% of the Czech consumer credit market over...

We study saddlepoint approximations to the tail-distribution for different credit portfolio losses in continuous time intensity based models which stochastic recoveries, under conditional independent homogeneous settings. In such models, conditional on the filtration generated by the individual...

In this article, we present a non-model framework for calculating exposure at default for counterparty credit risk analytically. While the proposed framework is based on the same fundamental assumption (that future transaction market values are normally distributed) as is used in the...

Credit risk modeling is about modeling losses. These losses are typically coming unexpectedly and triggered by shocks. So any process modeling the stochastic nature of losses should reasonable include jumps. In this paper we review a few jump driven models for the valuation of CDSs and show how...

We study default contagion in large homogeneous credit portfolios. Using data from the iTraxx Europe series, two synthetic CDO portfolios are calibrated against their tranche spreads, index CDS spreads and average CDS spreads, all with five year maturity. After the calibrations, which render...