In the present study, we model the migration process and the changes in the market environment. The migration process is being modeled as an F -inhomogeneous semi-Markov process with fuzzy states. The evolution of the migration process takes place within a stochastic market environment with...

Background: Corporate bonds are crucial for corporations as they provide a flexible and often less costly alternative to equity financing. However, rising corporate debt levels, along with rating downgrades and economic uncertainty, can cause corporations to face financial distress, exacerbating...

The COVID-19 crisis has revealed the economic vulnerability of various countries and, thus, has instigated the systematic exploration and forecasting of sovereign default risks. Multivariate statistical and stochastic process-based sovereign default risk forecasting has a 50-year developmental...