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This paper examines the drivers of the post-pandemic surge in inflation in four small open economies: Czechia, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia. For this purpose, a Bayesian structural vector autoregressive model with sign-zero restrictions and block exogeneity is employed. The results show that...
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determined by the cyclical movements of the domestic output gap with the commodity shock being also the important source of … inflation variability while for the third country the contribution of the commodity shock dominates over the output gap in … explaining inflation fluctuations. We find that the direct impact of the global demand shock on the price dynamics is negligible …
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macroeconomic variables in response to the domestic demand shock, the foreign demand and financial shocks and the terms …-of-trade shock at the ZLB. This effects become severe in response to highly persistent shocks which leads to stronger reaction of …
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