In most existing DSGE models, parameters are supposed constant and exogenous shocks have zero mean. This makes difficult to treat structural change and anticipated effects of future reforms. Introducing dummy variables in the DSGE model can only handle unexpected changes. This papers deals with...

A recent literature have proposed different methods to produce second-order accurate approximation to the solutions to DGSE's from a straightforward second-order approximation of the model. Among others, Judd (2002), Jin and Judd (2002) show how to compute approximation of arbitrary order on...

In this paper, we revisit the effects of government spending shocks on private aggregate consumption within an estimated New-Keynesian DSGE model of the euro area featuring non-Ricardian households and a relatively detailed fiscal policy set up. Employing Bayesian inference methods, we show that...

Standard practice for the estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models maintains the assumption that economic variables are properly measured by a single indicator, and that all relevant information for the estimation is adequately summarized by a small number of data...

Using a sticky price-wage model with capital accumulation and adjustment costs, this paper analyses the welfare effects of non-fundamental asset price and investment fluctuations for the representative household. The welfare effect depends strongly on the steady state level around which the...

DSGE models are customarily built in the presence of uncertainties of various levels, such as the specification of behavioural equations of economic agents, the actual values of model parameters, and so on. When the degree of complexity of the model structure and its parameterization increases,...

This paper estimates simple regime-switching rules for monetary policy and tax policy over the post-war period in the United States and imposes the estimated policy process on a standard dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with nominal rigidities. The estimated joint policy process...

This paper compares a number of alternative specifications for price setting in the context of the Smets-Wouters (2003) Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model. We compare the Calvo model with a standard Taylor contracting model and show that by allowing for sector-specific capital the...

This paper aims to evaluate the importance of frictions in credit markets for business cycles in the U.S. and the Euro area. For this purpose, I modify the DSGE financial accelerator model developed by Bernanke, Gertler and Gilchrist (1999) and estimate it using Bayesian methods. The model is...

We estimate the approximate nonlinear solution of a small DSGE model using Bayesian methods. Our results, based on euro area data, suggest that this approch delivers sharper inference compared to the estimation of the linearised solution. The nonlinear model can also account for richer economic...