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market index, in this paper we revisit the duration dependence in bull and bear markets. We find that for both bull and bear … markets the duration dependence is a nonlinear function of the state age. Our results suggest that the duration dependence in … bear markets is strictly positive. For 93% of bull markets the duration dependence is also positive. Only about 7% of the …
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This paper generalizes the ACD models of Engle and Russell (1998) using the so-called q-Weibull distribution as the conditional distribution. The new specification allows the hazard function to be non-monotonic. We document that the q-Weibull distribution recently suggested in physics as a...
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volatility models results in superior out-of-sample risk forecasts, compared to forecasts from existing models and more …
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best market gains come at the start of a bull market. Volatility increases with duration in bear markets. Allowing … volatility to vary with duration captures volatility clustering …This article uses a Markov-switching model that incorporates duration dependence to capture nonlinear structure in both …
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amplitude of these price variations to be market volatility and trade duration. By contrast, trade size and execution speed, as … dependence in terms of the well-known square-root scaling of volatility as a function of duration. Our explanation is consistent ….Conditional on trade duration, trade size is found to have little influence on price variations during execution. We find evidence …
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